Foresight

Foresight

Code3 Visionary provides foresight, a critical capability of resilient organizations.   It uses your previous incident history to build a sophisticated statistical model of underlying growth patterns by geography, incident category and time factors (time of day, day of week, season of year).   It augments these models with causal and analogy data to accommodate planned developments that don’t yet exist into a powerful, hybrid statistical model of future conditions.   This model is used to generate representative incident datasets for arbitrary future periods.  These datasets can be used standalone to study the effects of growth and change; they can also be used as input to Code3 Strategist or Code3 Advisor to evaluate or recommend strategies on the basis of future workload, not just the recent past.

A Range of Future Scenarios

Modeling multiple future scenarios is Code3 Visionary’s most important capability.   Prediction always involves uncertainty;  Code3 Visionary addresses this by providing multiple future scenarios at upper, lower and intermediate levels of intensity according to the variability of input models.   These scenarios can be used to derive predicted cost ranges, and also as input to Code3 Strategist and Code3 Advisor to assess the resilience of different strategies to the range of possible future conditions.